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Dshell’s MMA Main Event 1.21.2023

MMA is a sport based on opportunity and split second decision making. The breakdowns that we try to focus on here will be looking at stylistic differences between fighters and how they will impact the card. Although the breakdowns won't usually be long, they'll have info on fighter strengths and weaknesses and how we expect them to be exploited. Towards the end of the article there will be the five best bets on the slate for you to tail!

All my information is from https://fightodds.io/ and https://paydirtdfs.com/mma-ranks-and-leverage-model/

Daniel Marcos (Striker) vs Saimon Oliveira (Grappler)

Both of these guys are pretty similar. It should be a close fight. If I had to choose one of the two, I’d give the edge to Oliveira.

Josiane Nunes (Striker) vs Zarah Fairn Dos Santos (Striker)

Yeah Nunes is going to pick her apart with her size and reach. Give me Nunes.

Warlley Alves (Striker/Grappler) vs Nicolas Dalby (Striker)

This is going to be CLOSE. I think Dalby has a real chance to win this late if he can survive early. If he can make it through the early part of the fight, I think he can win it. Alves wins it early if he does.

Terrance McKinney (Striker/Grappler) vs Ismael Bonfim (Striker)

Will the Terrance hype train continue? It’s going to be a tough one. He is definitely faster and the better wrestler, but will that matter? I don’t know… I would say Terrance takes it, but wouldn’t be surprised if it went the other way.

Luan Lacerda (Grappler) vs Cody Stamann (Striker/Wrestler)

Don’t think this one is close. Stamann has been good for a long time now. 

Stamann -400

Jailton Junior (Grappler) vs Shamil Abdurakhimov (Striker)

Is this worth the words? Slaughter. Jailton time.

Mounir Lazzez (Striker)  vs Gabriel Bonfim (Striker/Grappler)

I really like Lazzez. He seems like he has a lot of upside and could be a good fighter in the future.

Lazzez +140

Thiago Moisés (Grappler) vs Melquizael Costa (Striker)

This is a lot closer than what the line shows. Moises is going to need everything to get by Costa here. If I had to choose one of the big favorites to lose, it’s Moises.

Gregory Rodrigues (Grappler) vs Brunno Ferreira (Striker)

I am super excited for Gregory Rodrigues in the MW division. I was super excited to see him fight Tavares. Give me the big favorite again.

Rodrigues -325

Mauricio Rua (Striker) vs Igor Poteria (Striker)

I really hope Shogun can win. He wants to retire so they gave him another fight in Brazil. Hope he can do it for all the fans.

Paul Craig (Striker/Grappler) vs Johnny Walker (Striker)

Absolute banger. Walker needs to strike well early or Paul will out wrestle him very easily. Give me the dog!

Craig +150

Jessica Andrade (Striker/Grappler) vs Lauren Murphy (Striker)

Mega yawn. Lauren is slow and Jessica is going to wrestle her the whole fight.

Gilbert Burns (Grappler) vs Neil Magny (Striker/Grappler)

Didn’t think I’d see -500 next to Burns name here. I don’t think it’s that big of a difference. I do think Burns will win, but look for Magny to keep his distance well.

Deiveson Figueiredo (Striker/Grappler) vs Brandon Moreno (Striker/Grappler)

Banger x4! I have been on the same side of this fight every time and I’m not going anywhere. Brandon should have won the last one too. He is going to frustrate Deiveson with his movement and jabs. AND NEW.

Moreno -120

Glover Teixeira (Striker) vs Jamahal Hill (Striker)

This is so damn hard for me. I pick against both of these guys every single fight. I thought Jamahal was very average and then went on a nice win streak. I think Glover is old and washed and he just keeps winning. I think I may just enjoy this fight as a spectator.

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