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Dshell’s MMA Main Event 2.18.2023

MMA is a sport based on opportunity and split second decision making. The breakdowns that we try to focus on here will be looking at stylistic differences between fighters and how they will impact the card. Although the breakdowns won't usually be long, they'll have info on fighter strengths and weaknesses and how we expect them to be exploited. Towards the end of the article there will be the five best bets on the slate for you to tail!

All my information is from https://fightodds.io/ and https://paydirtdfs.com/mma-ranks-and-leverage-model/

Juancamilo Ronderos (Striker/Grappler) vs Clayton Carpenter (Well Rounded)

Fun matchup between two interesting guys. They both are very raw fighters with different styles. If I had to choose one or the other, I would choose Carpenter.

AJ Fletcher vs Themba Takura Gorimbo

This is another interesting one. Gorimbo is a crazy finisher, but is very raw as well. AJ is the better fighter all around, but will he get caught by Gorimbo?

Ovince St. Preux (Striker) vs Luiz Philipe Lins (Striker/Grappler)

I can’t trust Lins here. He hasn’t been able to beat anyone since coming to the UFC. How do I trust OSP though? So much potential, but hasn’t shown it. I like the dog though.

St. Pruex +185

Jamall Emmers (Striker) vs Khusein Askhabov (Striker/Grappler)

This stinks for Emmers because I like him quite a bit, but Askhabov is such a good prospect. I really think Askhabov is a good fighter and I think this line should be even larger.

Askhabov -165

Mayra Bueno Silva (Striker/Grappler) vs Lina Lansberg (Striker)

Lina shouldn’t be in the UFC… She is going to get destroyed here pretty bad.

Nazim Sadykhov (Striker) vs Evan Elder (Striker/Wrestler)

I haven’t seen much of Elder, so I can’t speak much about him. I do know Nazim should take the victory though. 

Sadykhov -190

Jim Miller (Well Rounded) vs Alexander Hernandez (Striker)

This is a fight Alex should be winning all the time. But this is a fight Jim Miller wins. Going to be a tough decision, but I have to go with Jim. Alex is such a disappointment.

Miller +175

William Knight (Striker/Wrestler) vs Marcin Prachnio (Striker)

Not much for me here. I don’t trust Marcin enough to pick him in a fight.

Knight -125

Josh Parisian (Striker) vs Jamal Pogues (Striker)

The way to beat Parisian is to grind him out and wear him out. Pogues does not remind me of that person. 

Parisian +210

Jordan Wright (Striker) vs Zac Pauga (Striker)

I hate Jordan. Not a fan at all. I don’t think Zac is anything special, but I am more than fine with picking him in this matchup.

Pauga -275

Jessica Andrade (Striker/Grappler) vs Erin Blanchfield (Well Rounded)

I am actually pretty interested in this fight. I really want to see if Erin is the real deal. She has been very surprising, but this is a HUGE step up in competition. It’s going to be interesting to see if she can pull off the upset.

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