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Dshell’s MMA Main Event 3.11.2023

MMA is a sport based on opportunity and split second decision making. The breakdowns that we try to focus on here will be looking at stylistic differences between fighters and how they will impact the card. Although the breakdowns won't usually be long, they'll have info on fighter strengths and weaknesses and how we expect them to be exploited. Towards the end of the article there will be the five best bets on the slate for you to tail!

All my information is from https://fightodds.io/ and https://paydirtdfs.com/mma-ranks-and-leverage-model/

Carlston Harris (Grappler) vs Jared Gooden (Striker/Wrestler)

Harris is going to win this one pretty easily. Harris is going to be pretty wild and connect on his wild shots.

Tyson Nam (Striker) vs Bruno Silva (Striker)

This is such a banger early fight. I am a pretty big Nam fan, so I’ll be backing him. I can easily see Silva pulling off a decision victory though.

Nam +150

JJ Aldrich (Striker) vs Ariane Lipski (Striker)

Lipski always wants to brawl. That is going to cause her issues and JJ is going to wrestle her when she tries to get into these brawls.

Tony Gravely (Striker/Wrestler) vs Victor Henry (Striker)

This is going to be a pretty close one. Tony is going to try to use his wrestling and boxing to try to win this, but he fades pretty often and that’s going to be an issue Henry exploits.

Henry -145

Mario Bautista (Striker/Grappler) vs Guido Cannetti (Striker)

Guido needs to get a crazy first round KO again or this fight isn’t winnable.

Sedriques Dumas (Striker) vs Joshua Fremd (Striker)

How can I not pick someone with a last name like Dumas????

Dumas -220

Raphael Assuncao (Striker/Grappler) vs Davey Grant (Striker)

I’d love to pick Assuncao…. He is also 40 years old. 

Grant -140

Lukasz Brzeski (Striker) vs Karl Williams (Striker/Wrestler)

I am not sold on the Karl hype. I really think he is going to get a nice welcome from Lukasz here….. 

Brzeski +200

Vitor Petrino (Striker) vs Anton Turkalj (Grappler)

This is one of those ones that I am just going to sit there and watch and enjoy. I really can see both of these men winning. Either Petrino vy KO or Anton by sub.

Said Nurmagomedov (Striker/Grappler) vs Jonathan Martinez (Striker)

This may be closer than I think it will be, but I think Said is just going to roll him over. If this stays standing, I think Said has the slight edge too.

Nurmagomedov -230

Nikita Krylov (Striker) vs Ryan Spann (Striker/Grappler)

I’ll keep this one short. I hate Spann. LOL. I bet against him every fight and it has not been working out for me. This is the fight it changes. TRUST.

Krylov -175

Alexander Volkov (Striker) vs Alexander Romanov (Striker/Wrestler)

Another close one for me. Volkov is the gatekeeper, but I am worried he is getting old… I think Romanov will be able to take him down and get a win. May the better Alex win.

Romanov -155

Petr Yan (Striker) vs Merab Dvalishvili (Striker/Wrestler)

May be my favorite bet of the night…. I LOVE MERAB. He is an absolute savage. He will outwork you, outwrestle you, and beat you. I think he wins this and then Aljo moves up to 145, so he can fight for the 135 title. GIVE ME MERAB.

Dvalishvili +205

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