MMA is a sport based on opportunity and split second decision making. The breakdowns that we try to focus on here will be looking at stylistic differences between fighters and how they will impact the card. Although the breakdowns won't usually be long, they'll have info on fighter strengths and weaknesses and how we expect them to be exploited. Towards the end of the article there will be the five best bets on the slate for you to tail!
All my information is from https://fightodds.io/ and https://paydirtdfs.com/mma-ranks-and-leverage-model/
Veronica Macedo (Striker/Grappler) vs Juliana Miller (Grappler)This is one where if Macedo can keep this one standing, then she can definitely pull off the big upset. Her 50% takedown defense isn’t great though…
Macedo +350 if you want to bet on first fight
Jai Herbert (Striker) vs Ľudovít Klein (Striker)
Both of these guys are strikers, but they don’t throw much. I expect this one to be an interesting fight, but it may be pretty boring…
Joanne Calderwood (Striker) vs Luana Carolina (Striker)
Another striker battle here. Calderwood has a pretty favorable matchup here and if she can’t win this one, she prolly should stop fighting…
Calderwood -175
Jake Hadley (Striker) vs Malcolm Gordon (Striker/Grappler)
Gordon needs to take him down and keep him there in this fight. That’s the chance he has to win this. I like Hadley much more, but not enough to bet on him.
Christian Leroy Duncan (Striker) vs Dusko Todorovic (Striker)
Another tough one here to bet. Dusko can do some damage if he gets him to the mat, but his chin has been horrible and I could see him losing this from one punch.
Lerone Murphy (Striker) vs Gabriel Santos (Striker/Grappler)
Crazy to see a new fighter come straight in and fight someone like Murphy. Santos will have the grappling advantage, but I think Lerone can keep him from winning his first UFC fight.
Murphy -175
Muhammad Mokaev (Grappler) vs Jafel Cavalcante Filho (Striker/Grappler)
I wouldn’t touch this fight. Muhammad has an injured shoulder? And he is a -950 favorite???
Sam Patterson (Striker) vs Yanal Ashmuz (Striker/Wrestler)
UFC debut for both of these gents. Patterson is the better fighter, but is pretty chinny. If Yanal is able to touch him with one of his big shots, we could be looking at an upset.
Chris Duncan (Striker) vs Omar Morales (Striker)
I like Morales here. He is coming off of his first KO loss and I think he will rebound here. It’s a risky bet, but I like it.
Morales -115
Jack Shore (Well Rounded) vs Makwan Amirkhani (Striker/Wrestler)
Fun fight, but it’s a pretty one sided one. Jack is going to win and London will get nutty.
Marvin Vettori (Well Rounded) vs Roman Dolidze (Striker/Wrestler)
I like Roman and I think he is a madman in the octagon. The problem is that it won't work against Marvin. He is smarter than that. Give me Marvin.
Vettori -250
Jennifer Maia (Striker/Grappler) vs Casey O'Neill (Striker/Grappler)
I like Casey here. She lands more strikes and is the more aggressive wrestler. I like her to take the win from the vet.
O’Neill -170
Gunnar Nelson (Striker/Grappler) vs Bryan Barberena (Striker/Grappler)
I am a huge fan of Bryan! I think if he can keep this at distance and stay away from Gunnar, then he will be able to pull off the victory.
Barberena +280
Justin Gaethje (Striker/Wrestler) vs Rafael Fiziev (Striker)
Love me some Justin. Will always pick him no matter who he is fighting. Fiziev is an absolute animal, but so is Justin. Gonna be FOTN like always.
Gaethje +190
Leon Edwards (Striker) vs Kamaru Usman (Wrestler)
Love all the people on the Leon train because of the head kick. We gotta remember when the head kick was…. 5th round with not much time left. Usman had won every round before that. We will see the Nigerian Nightmare get his title back tonight.
Usman -265