MMA is a sport based on opportunity and split second decision making. The breakdowns that we try to focus on here will be looking at stylistic differences between fighters and how they will impact the card. Although the breakdowns won't usually be long, they'll have info on fighter strengths and weaknesses and how we expect them to be exploited. Towards the end of the article there will be the five best bets on the slate for you to tail!
All my information is from https://fightodds.io/ and https://paydirtdfs.com/mma-ranks-and-leverage-model/
What a card we have here! Banger after banger on ABC. One of my favorite plays of the year is somewhere in this article. Go read the article to find what it is 🙂
Jessica Pene (Wrestler) vs Emily Ducote (Striker/Wrestler)
Pene has had some problems with high output strikers in the past. The good news for her is Emily is not that at all. She is very low output with some wrestling background. I like Pene to get a win here.
Pene +130
Dwight Grant (Striker) vs Dustin Stoltzfus (Striker)
Should be a lose and you’re cut fight here. Dustin is closer to being cut than Dwight. I think Dustin uses his grappling here and pulls out a victory. Dwight is much more a KO or bust kind of fighter.
Stoltzfus +100
Dustin Jacoby (Striker) vs Da Un Jung (Striker)
This fight all depends if Jung can get in close or not. Jacovy si going to try to keep him at distance with leg kicks, while Jung wants to get in close and throw elbows. Going to be interesting to see how it plays out.
Bill Algeo (Striker) vs Herbert Burns (Grappler)
I just don’t know here. A ton of people seem to be on the Burns upset train… I just don’t think he is good at all. Not saying Algeo is good, but I just don’t know if he can pull off the upset.
Ricky Simon (Striker/Grappler) vs Jack Shore (Well Rounded)
This fight is awesome. Two really good grapplers and it’s going to see which one will take this. Ricky has fought more competition and I think the experience will give him the edge in the end. I mean Ricky beat Merab and Merab is an absolute animal…..
Simon +130
Punahele Soriano (Striker) vs Dalcha Lungiambula (Striker/Wrestler)
Both of these guys gas out and it’ll be interesting to see if their cardio has gotten any better. The model absolutely loves Soriano, so I’ll side with that :-).
Lauren Murphy (Striker) vs Miesha Tate (Striker/Grappler)
I really don’t need to see this fight lol. Gonna be a slow grind it out fight. Miesha wins by being less boring.
Shane Burgos (Well Rounded) vs Charles Jourdain (Striker)
Go watch this thread and watch Shane Burgos. He is an absolute animal.
This fight will be an absolute BANGER. Expect tons of violence.
Matt Schnell (Striker/Grappler) vs Su Mudaerji (Striker)
If Schnell can have this fight turn into a grappling match and wrestling, he will 100% win. The problem is getting there and Su hits like a truck. Gonna be really interesting to see what happens here. Schnell is a nice dog if you want one.
Jingliang Li (Striker/Grappler) vs Muslim Salikhov (Striker)
I have no idea what is going to happen here… Both of these guys are pretty similar… Time to go to the models. Models like Li, which means so do I!
Li +135
Michelle Waterson (Striker/Grappler) vs Amanda Lemos (Striker)
Lemos is too fast and strong for Waterson here. The only way I could see Waterson winning is by doing a ton of wrestling and getting a split decision victory or something. Lemos wins this one.
Brian Ortega (Well Rounded) vs Yair Rodriguez (Striker)
I LOVE Yair here. Probably my favorite play/bet of the night. Ortega is obviously better if he grapples and tries to wrestle with Yair. The problem is Ortega loves to throw hands and really doesn’t shoot for takedowns or anything. Yair is the far superior striker here. Look what Yair did to Max. He had some really nice strikes vs him.
Rodriguez +145