MMA is a sport based on opportunity and split second decision making. The breakdowns that we try to focus on here will be looking at stylistic differences between fighters and how they will impact the card. Although the breakdowns won't usually be long, they'll have info on fighter strengths and weaknesses and how we expect them to be exploited. Towards the end of the article there will be the five best bets on the slate for you to tail!
All my information is from https://fightodds.io/ and https://paydirtdfs.com/mma-ranks-and-leverage-model/
Mayra Bueno Silva (Striker/Grappler) vs Stephanie Egger (Grappler)
Should be a pretty slow grappling fight to start the night. Both of these ladies want this to go to the ground and it’ll be whoever wins the grappling battle will win the fight.
Cory McKenna (Striker/Wrestler) vs Miranda Granger (Striker)
Another fight that is going to look just like the one before. A low level grappling fight. I don’t think Granger is very good and she is coming back after having a baby. I think she puts herself in too many bad spots on the mat.
Takashi Sato (Striker) vs Bryan Battle (Striker)
Battle is dropping down a weight class even after winning TUF at 185. I think he is an uptempo striker who has huge promise in the UFC. I like him to win this fight and then go back to 185.
Terrance McKinney (Striker/Grappler) vs Erick Gonzalez (Striker)
This will be a fire first round fight. Both of these gents are going to give it everything they have in the first and it probably won’t get to the second.
Michał Oleksiejczuk (Striker) vs Sam Alvey (Striker)
I think this is it for Alvey. I’ll miss smiling Sam. Michal by decimation.
Ariane Lipski (Striker) vs Priscila Cachoeira (Striker)
Lipski missed weight pretty badly. I would love to pick Priscila, but she has such a huge advantage over her. Lipski should try to turn this into a grappling fight.
Augusto Sakai (Striker) vs Sergey Spivak (Striker)
I think the Sakai train has hit a wall. Sakai needs to stop the takedowns here if he wants any chance to win here. Spivak is going to try to get this to the ground and wear Sakai out and that’s what’s going to happen here.
Juliana Miller (Grappler) vs Brogan Sanchez (Striker)
I think Brogan Sanchez is the much better fighter here, even if Miller looks like the one who wants it more. I think it’ll be a fun scrap throughout the fight, but I give the edge to Sanchez at the end of the day.
Zac Pauga (Striker) vs Mohammed Usman (Striker/Wrestler)
I didn’t get to watch much of TUF, but I did watch both of these men fight once. Pauga looks like a much better fighter. Pauga just needs to stop getting tossed around and from being caught, but I think Pauga can do that and win this fight.
Vicente Luque (Striker/Grappler) vs Geoff Neal (Striker)
Fun fun fun fight here. Neal loves to head hunt and that will be his downfall in this one. Luque is really good and he knows how to win and in this one that will include Luque taking Neal to the ground. I think he does this and secures the win.
Thiago Santos (Striker/Grappler) vs Jamahal Hill (Striker)
I mean this is a big step for Hill, no? And he is a -350 favorite? I don’t really see it… I have seen Hill look really really bad and I always think that when he is about to fight. I think Santos is about the same level of Hill and I am going to take the upset because of how wide this line is.