Scoring Percentages and Stacking
SEA
- DK Team Own%: 110.39%
- DK LevX: -2.00%
- FD Team Own%: 79.71%
- FD LevX: 9.50%
- Opp SP: Kyle Muller
ATL
- DK Team Own%: 59.71%
- DK LevX: 25.00%
- FD Team Own%: 48.43%
- FD LevX: 25.00%
- Opp SP: Gavin Stone
MIN
- DK Team Own%: 48.95%
- DK LevX: 25.00%
- FD Team Own%: 62.51%
- FD LevX: 9.50%
- Opp SP: Sean Manaea
LAA
- DK Team Own%: 39.22%
- DK LevX: 25.00%
- FD Team Own%: 60.01%
- FD LevX: 9.50%
- Opp SP: Tanner Houck
KC
- DK Team Own%: 30.2%
- DK LevX: 25.00%
- FD Team Own%: 31.06%
- FD LevX: 17.50%
- Opp SP: Michael Lorenzen
SEA, ATL, MIN, LAA, and KC are good teams to stack in DFS due to their high percentages of games with 8+ runs scored. This statistic suggests they often have high-scoring games, which can provide a high reward for DFS players. Additionally, all five teams have positive LevX scores on FanDuel, indicating they may be under-owned relative to their potential scoring output, providing an opportunity for unique lineups. While all the teams have positive LevX scores on FanDuel, SEA's DK LevX is negative, meaning they might be over-owned in DraftKings contests relative to their scoring potential. In such a situation, it could be beneficial to look for less popular teams or players for diversity and potential upside.
DK Pitcher Options
Bailey Ober
- Team: MIN
- Salary: 8100
- Top_finish: 29.10%
- Top_5_finish: 64.20%
- Large Field Own%: 18.68%, lower than average
- Small Field Own%: 23.00%, higher than average
Luis Castillo
- Team: SEA
- Salary: 9200
- Top_finish: 18.00%
- Top_5_finish: 50.90%
- Large Field Own%: 75.00%, significantly higher than average
- Small Field Own%: 75.00%, significantly higher than average
Jaime Barria
- Team: LAA
- Salary: 7900
- Top_finish: 11.80%
- Top_5_finish: 43.50%
- Large Field Own%: 0.71%, significantly lower than average
- Small Field Own%: 0.71%, significantly lower than average
Edward Cabrera
- Team: MIA
- Salary: 8300
- Top_finish: 13.10%
- Top_5_finish: 45.00%
- Large Field Own%: 3.79%, significantly lower than average
- Small Field Own%: 3.79%, significantly lower than average
Charlie Morton
- Team: ATL
- Salary: 9400
- Top_finish: 6.90%
- Top_5_finish: 34.40%
- Large Field Own%: 15.72%, lower than average
- Small Field Own%: 17.09%, higher than average
Bailey Ober, Luis Castillo, Jaime Barria, Edward Cabrera, and Charlie Morton are good bets to perform well based on these statistics. They all have high median scores, meaning they tend to perform around these values frequently. This consistency can provide a reliable floor of points in a tournament setting. Additionally, each player has a relatively high top_finish and top_5_finish percentage, indicating that they often finish in the top positions of tournaments.
However, there are significant differences in their ownership percentages. Luis Castillo has a remarkably high ownership in both small and large field tournaments, suggesting he is a popular choice among players. On the other hand, Jaime Barria and Edward Cabrera have significantly lower ownership percentages, which can provide a unique lineup that could potentially outperform in a tournament due to lower competition. Bailey Ober and Charlie Morton show balanced ownership percentages, making them solid choices for any type of tournament. These outliers in ownership percentage can inform a strategic decision about which players to choose based on the size of the tournament and the potential reward of a unique lineup.
FD Pitcher Options
Bailey Ober
- Team: MIN
- Salary: 10300
- Top_finish: 33.30%
- Top_5_finish: 78.20%
- Large Field Own%: 7.98%, lower than average
- Small Field Own%: 8.71%, lower than average
Luis Castillo
- Team: SEA
- Salary: 10500
- Top_finish: 25.10%
- Top_5_finish: 73.20%
- Large Field Own%: 36.93%, lower than average
- Small Field Own%: 66.61%, significantly higher than average
Jaime Barria
- Team: LAA
- Salary: 5500
- Top_finish: 14.30%
- Top_5_finish: 66.20%
- Large Field Own%: 0.73%, significantly lower than average
- Small Field Own%: 0.73%, significantly lower than average
Edward Cabrera
- Team: MIA
- Salary: 7800
- Top_finish: 10.60%
- Top_5_finish: 60.20%
- Large Field Own%: 1.50%, significantly lower than average
- Small Field Own%: 1.50%, significantly lower than average
Cristian Javier
- Team: HOU
- Salary: 10800
- Top_finish: 6.20%
- Top_5_finish: 46.80%
- Large Field Own%: 11.02%, lower than average
- Small Field Own%: 14.79%, lower than average
Bailey Ober, Luis Castillo, Jaime Barria, Edward Cabrera, and Cristian Javier are good bets to perform well based on these statistics. They all have high median scores, indicating that they are expected to consistently perform well in tournaments. Additionally, each player has a relatively high top_finish and top_5_finish percentage, indicating that they often finish in the top positions of tournaments.
However, the ownership percentages show some interesting outliers. Luis Castillo has a particularly high Small Field Own% compared to his Large Field Own%, suggesting he is a popular choice in smaller tournaments. On the other hand, Jaime Barria and Edward Cabrera have exceptionally low ownership percentages in both small and large field tournaments, indicating they are overlooked by most players. This could provide a unique edge in tournaments due to lower competition. Bailey Ober and Cristian Javier show more balanced, albeit lower than average, ownership percentages, suggesting they could be undervalued picks. These insights into the players' popularity among the player base can help in forming a strategic lineup based on the size and competitiveness of the tournament.
True AVG breakdown
The top 5 players with the lowest (Best) Weighted True AVG scores are:
John Brebbia
- Team: SF
- True AVG (LHH): 0.139
- True AVG (RHH): 0.201
- Weighted True AVG: 0.180, significantly below average
- Opp RHH: 6
- Opp LHH: 3
Edward Cabrera
- Team: MIA
- True AVG (LHH): 0.298
- True AVG (RHH): 0.155
- Weighted True AVG: 0.218, below average
- Opp RHH: 5
- Opp LHH: 4
Cristian Javier
- Team: HOU
- True AVG (LHH): 0.236
- True AVG (RHH): 0.258
- Weighted True AVG: 0.220, below average
- Opp RHH: 4
- Opp LHH: 4
Charlie Morton
- Team: ATL
- True AVG (LHH): 0.225
- True AVG (RHH): 0.224
- Weighted True AVG: 0.224, slightly below average
- Opp RHH: 5
- Opp LHH: 4
Bailey Ober
- Team: MIN
- True AVG (LHH): 0.239
- True AVG (RHH): 0.220
- Weighted True AVG: 0.231, slightly below average
- Opp RHH: 4
- Opp LHH: 5
John Brebbia, Edward Cabrera, Cristian Javier, Charlie Morton, and Bailey Ober are good bets to perform well based on their weighted True AVG scores. They all have below-average numbers, indicating that they are strong against both left-handed and right-handed hitters.
However, there are some significant differences between their True AVG (LHH) and True AVG (RHH). Edward Cabrera stands out as being particularly effective against right-handed hitters (True AVG RHH of 0.155), but somewhat vulnerable to left-handers (True AVG LHH of 0.298). John Brebbia also shows a similar trend, being more effective against left-handed hitters.
Their matchups also offer interesting insights. Bailey Ober and Edward Cabrera are facing an almost equal mix of left- and right-handed hitters, which could benefit them due to their balanced True AVG scores. Cristian Javier and Charlie Morton are also facing a balanced mix of hitters, with Morton showing an almost identical True AVG for both types of hitters.
These players are therefore good picks not just based on their baseline performance but also considering the specific matchups they are facing. Understanding these statistics and matchup information can be crucial for making successful predictions in baseball.