Scoring Percentages and Stacking
The top 5 Names with the highest 8+ runs percentages are:
KC
- 8+ runs percentage: 50.40%
- DK Team Own%: 108.27
- DK LevX: -1.50%
- FD Team Own%: 101.61
- FD LevX: 1.50%
SF
- 8+ runs percentage: 44.60%
- DK Team Own%: 61.78
- DK LevX: 18.50%
- FD Team Own%: 47.41
- FD LevX: 21.50%
OAK
- 8+ runs percentage: 34.40%
- DK Team Own%: 65.03
- DK LevX: -1.50%
- FD Team Own%: 62.78
- FD LevX: 8.50%
SD
- 8+ runs percentage: 33.40%
- DK Team Own%: 38.05
- DK LevX: 21.50%
- FD Team Own%: 55.95
- FD LevX: 11.50%
ATL
- 8+ runs percentage: 29.00%
- DK Team Own%: 51.99
- DK LevX: 8.50%
- FD Team Own%: 31.66
- FD LevX: 25.00%
These teams are good to stack in DFS as they have high 8+ runs percentages, which indicates their potential for scoring 8 or more runs in a game. However, it is also important to consider the LevX metric. While ATL, SF, and SD have positive LevX scores in both DK and FD, OAK and KC have negative DK LevX scores, which may suggest that these teams might not be the best choices for stacking in DraftKings.
DK Pitcher Options
Spencer Strider
- Position: SP
- Team: ATL
- Salary: $11,500
- Median Score: 26.97
- Top_finish Percentage: 70.20%
- Top_5_finish Percentage: 89.90%
- Large Field Own%: 73.55 (Average: 56.06)
- Difference to the average Large Field Own%: 17.49
- Small Field Own%: 75.00 (Average: 75.00)
- Difference to the average Small Field Own%: 0
Nathan Eovaldi
- Position: SP
- Team: TEX
- Salary: $9,300
- Median Score: 19.73
- Top_finish Percentage: 10.10%
- Top_5_finish Percentage: 59.00%
- Large Field Own%: 13.05 (Average: 14.06)
- Difference to the average Large Field Own%: -1.01
- Small Field Own%: 13.60 (Average: 13.60)
- Difference to the average Small Field Own%: 0
MacKenzie Gore
- Position: SP
- Team: WAS
- Salary: $8,700
- Median Score: 18.78
- Top_finish Percentage: 7.70%
- Top_5_finish Percentage: 48.90%
- Large Field Own%: 6.66 (Average: 6.66)
- Difference to the average Large Field Own%: 0
- Small Field Own%: 6.66 (Average: 6.66)
- Difference to the average Small Field Own%: 0
Alex Cobb
- Position: SP
- Team: SF
- Salary: $9,000
- Median Score: 16.89
- Top_finish Percentage: 2.60%
- Top_5_finish Percentage: 32.80%
- Large Field Own%: 21.71 (Average: 26.44)
- Difference to the average Large Field Own%: -4.73
- Small Field Own%: 30.93 (Average: 30.93)
- Difference to the average Small Field Own%: 0
Reid Detmers
- Position: SP
- Team: LAA
- Salary: $8,500
- Median Score: 16.74
- Top_finish Percentage: 2.70%
- Top_5_finish Percentage: 38.30%
- Large Field Own%: 16.34 (Average: 20.13)
- Difference to the average Large Field Own%: -3.79
- Small Field Own%: 20.18 (Average: 20.18)
- Difference to the average Small Field Own%: 0
FD Pitcher Options
Based on the dataset provided, the top 5 players with the highest Median scores are:
Spencer Strider (P, ATL, $11,400)
- Top_finish percentage: 63.20%
- Top_5_finish percentage: 95.20%
- Large Field Own%: 34.64 (difference to average: -2.31)
- Small Field Own%: 62.62 (difference to average: +25.67)
Nathan Eovaldi (P, TEX, $9,700)
- Top_finish percentage: 13.30%
- Top_5_finish percentage: 79.40%
- Large Field Own%: 6.29 (difference to average: -30.66)
- Small Field Own%: 6.29 (difference to average: -30.66)
MacKenzie Gore (P, WAS, $10,300)
- Top_finish percentage: 13.30%
- Top_5_finish percentage: 82.70%
- Large Field Own%: 2.61 (difference to average: -34.34)
- Small Field Own%: 2.61 (difference to average: -34.34)
Alex Cobb (P, SF, $8,300)
- Top_finish percentage: 7.50%
- Top_5_finish percentage: 70.00%
- Large Field Own%: 10.40 (difference to average: -26.55)
- Small Field Own%: 14.13 (difference to average: -22.82)
Reid Detmers (P, LAA, $8,600)
- Top_finish percentage: 2.10%
- Top_5_finish percentage: 55.30%
- Large Field Own%: 7.60 (difference to average: -29.35)
- Small Field Own%: 8.54 (difference to average: -28.41)
These players are considered good bets to perform well based on their high Median scores, which indicate strong tournament expectations, as well as their impressive Top_finish and Top_5_finish percentages. Although some of them have a lower-than-average Large Field Own% and Small Field Own%, their performance statistics outweigh this factor, making them appealing options.
True AVG breakdown
The top 5 players with the lowest (Best) Weighted True AVG scores are:
Spencer Strider (RHP, ATL)
- True AVG (LHH): 0.173
- True AVG (RHH): 0.205
- Weighted True AVG: 0.184 (below average)
- Opp LHH: 6, Opp RHH: 3
MacKenzie Gore (LHP, WAS)
- True AVG (LHH): 0.073
- True AVG (RHH): 0.228
- Weighted True AVG: 0.194 (below average)
- Opp LHH: 2, Opp RHH: 7
Nathan Eovaldi (RHP, TEX)
- True AVG (LHH): 0.243
- True AVG (RHH): 0.192
- Weighted True AVG: 0.209 (below average)
- Opp LHH: 3, Opp RHH: 6
Reid Detmers (LHP, LAA)
- True AVG (LHH): 0.245
- True AVG (RHH): 0.209
- Weighted True AVG: 0.213 (below average)
- Opp LHH: 1, Opp RHH: 8
Alex Cobb (RHP, SF)
- True AVG (LHH): 0.270
- True AVG (RHH): 0.210
- Weighted True AVG: 0.237 (below average)
- Opp LHH: 4, Opp RHH: 5
The Highest (worst) Weighted True AVG scores are:
Colin Rea (RHP, MIL)
- True AVG (LHH): 0.316
- True AVG (RHH): 0.278
- Weighted True AVG: 0.299 (above average)
- Opp LHH: 5, Opp RHH: 4
Ken Waldichuk (LHP, OAK)
- True AVG (LHH): 0.322
- True AVG (RHH): 0.266
- Weighted True AVG: 0.285 (above average)
- Opp LHH: 3, Opp RHH: 6
Brady Singer (RHP, KC)
- True AVG (LHH): 0.231
- True AVG (RHH): 0.298
- Weighted True AVG: 0.268 (above average)
- Opp LHH: 4, Opp RHH: 5
Bailey Falter (LHP, PHI)
- True AVG (LHH): 0.266
- True AVG (RHH): 0.270
- Weighted True AVG: 0.268 (above average)
- Opp LHH: 5, Opp RHH: 4
Corey Kluber (RHP, BOS)
- True AVG (LHH): 0.275
- True AVG (RHH): 0.261
- Weighted True AVG: 0.267 (above average)
- Opp LHH: 4, Opp RHH: 5
Players with lower Weighted True AVG scores are considered good bets to perform well due to their more realistic batting average allowed through regressive methods. Their baselines and matchup (number of Opp LHH and Opp RHH) further contribute to their performance expectations.