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G-PD Breakdown: MLB DFS Main Slate

Scoring Percentages and Stacking

In this dataset, the top 5 teams with the highest 8+ runs percentages are SEA, CHC, TB, LAA, and BAL. These percentages represent how often a team scores 8 or more runs in a game, which is a useful metric for assessing team performance. Stacking these teams in daily fantasy sports (DFS) can yield high returns, as their strong offensive capabilities can lead to multiple hitters from the same team having excellent performances.

  1. SEA (Seattle Mariners) – 36.4% 8+ runs percentage
  • DK Team Own%: 71.18 (AVG: 7.91), DK LevX: 14.50%
  • FD Team Own%: 53.21 (AVG: 5.91), FD LevX: 14.50%

Seattle Mariners have a high 8+ runs percentage, and they rank first in this category. This makes them a good team to stack in DFS, as they often score big. Their DK LevX and FD LevX indicate that they are a solid option for leveraging lineups in both platforms.

  1. CHC (Chicago Cubs) – 30.6% 8+ runs percentage
  • DK Team Own%: 80.77 (AVG: 8.97), DK LevX: 6.50%
  • FD Team Own%: 70.81 (AVG: 7.87), FD LevX: 4.00%

The Chicago Cubs rank second in 8+ runs percentage. They are also a good team to stack in DFS, although their DK LevX and FD LevX are lower than SEA, which means there might be less potential for leverage.

  1. TB (Tampa Bay Rays) – 30.6% 8+ runs percentage
  • DK Team Own%: 13.57 (AVG: 1.51), DK LevX: 25.00%
  • FD Team Own%: 19.63 (AVG: 2.18), FD LevX: 25.00%

The Tampa Bay Rays share the same 8+ runs percentage as the Cubs. However, their DK LevX and FD LevX are higher than both SEA and CHC, indicating a greater potential for leverage in DFS lineups.

  1. LAA (Los Angeles Angels) – 27.0% 8+ runs percentage
  • DK Team Own%: 19.02 (AVG: 2.11), DK LevX: 19.50%
  • FD Team Own%: 33.72 (AVG: 3.75), FD LevX: 14.50%

The Los Angeles Angels rank fourth in 8+ runs percentage. Their DK LevX and FD LevX fall in between the values of the other top teams, making them a good option for DFS stacking.

  1. BAL (Baltimore Orioles) – 26.0% 8+ runs percentage
  • DK Team Own%: 98.63 (AVG: 10.96), DK LevX: -6.50%
  • FD Team Own%: 74.02 (AVG: 8.22), FD LevX: -6.50%

The Baltimore Orioles rank fifth in 8+ runs percentage. However, their DK LevX and FD LevX are negative, which means that stacking this team in DFS might not provide significant leverage potential.

In conclusion, these five teams are strong offensive performers, making them good options to stack in DFS. They have varying degrees of leverage potential, with SEA, CHC, and TB being the most promising options for gaining an edge in daily fantasy sports.

DK Pitcher Options

Based on the top 5 highest Median scores, the following players are good bets to perform well in tournaments:

  1. Grayson Rodriguez, SP, BAL, $8300
  • Top_finish percentage: 27.20%
  • Top_5_finish percentage: 64.30%
  • Large Field Own%: 15.63% (Difference: -4.34% compared to the average)
  • Small Field Own%: 19.97% (Difference: +0.0% compared to the average)
  1. Pablo Lopez, SP, MIN, $9900
  • Top_finish percentage: 18.00%
  • Top_5_finish percentage: 53.50%
  • Large Field Own%: 12.64% (Difference: -7.33% compared to the average)
  • Small Field Own%: 14.90% (Difference: -5.07% compared to the average)
  1. George Kirby, SP, SEA, $8800
  • Top_finish percentage: 11.90%
  • Top_5_finish percentage: 47.90%
  • Large Field Own%: 47.39% (Difference: +27.42% compared to the average)
  • Small Field Own%: 44.06% (Difference: +24.09% compared to the average)
  1. Jesus Luzardo, SP, MIA, $8600
  • Top_finish percentage: 8.90%
  • Top_5_finish percentage: 41.30%
  • Large Field Own%: 22.22% (Difference: +2.25% compared to the average)
  • Small Field Own%: 27.30% (Difference: +7.33% compared to the average)
  1. Lucas Giolito, SP, CWS, $7400
  • Top_finish percentage: 8.30%
  • Top_5_finish percentage: 38.40%
  • Large Field Own%: 17.74% (Difference: -2.23% compared to the average)
  • Small Field Own%: 22.67% (Difference: +2.70% compared to the average)

Based on these statistics, the players listed above are expected to perform well and could be valuable picks for your fantasy team.

FD Pitcher Options

Based on the dataset, the top 5 players with the highest Median scores, which assesses their median tournament expectations, are as follows:

  1. Grayson Rodriguez (P, BAL, $9400)
  • Top_finish percentage: 25.10%
  • Top_5_finish percentage: 69.70%
  • Large Field Own%: 6.71 (Difference to the average: -1.16)
  • Small Field Own%: 7.87 (Difference to the average: 0)
  1. Pablo Lopez (P, MIN, $10700)
  • Top_finish percentage: 18.30%
  • Top_5_finish percentage: 62.40%
  • Large Field Own%: 3.97 (Difference to the average: -3.9)
  • Small Field Own%: 3.97 (Difference to the average: -3.9)
  1. George Kirby (P, SEA, $10000)
  • Top_finish percentage: 15.70%
  • Top_5_finish percentage: 61.50%
  • Large Field Own%: 19.87 (Difference to the average: 12)
  • Small Field Own%: 34.19 (Difference to the average: 26.32)
  1. Jesus Luzardo (P, MIA, $9200)
  • Top_finish percentage: 12.70%
  • Top_5_finish percentage: 53.70%
  • Large Field Own%: 10.86 (Difference to the average: -0.99)
  • Small Field Own%: 16.15 (Difference to the average: 8.28)
  1. Lucas Giolito (P, CWS, $8300)
  • Top_finish percentage: 9.50%
  • Top_5_finish percentage: 49.90%
  • Large Field Own%: 9.51 (Difference to the average: -1.34)
  • Small Field Own%: 13.47 (Difference to the average: 5.6)

These players have high median scores, which suggest that they are good bets to perform well in tournaments. They also have high top_finish and top_5_finish percentages, indicating their potential to rank highly. The differences in their Large Field Own% and Small Field Own% compared to the average also provide insights into their ownership percentages, which can influence their potential impact on fantasy lineups.

True AVG breakdown

Top 5 Lowest Weighted True AVG scores:

  1. Pablo Lopez (RHP, MIN)
  • Weighted True AVG: 0.196 (significantly below average)
  • Better against LHH (True AVG LHH: 0.190) than RHH (True AVG RHH: 0.230)
  • Faces 2 Opp LHH and 6 Opp RHH
  1. Grayson Rodriguez (RHP, BAL)
  • Weighted True AVG: 0.201 (below average)
  • Consistent performance against LHH (True AVG LHH: 0.204) and RHH (True AVG RHH: 0.192)
  • Faces 7 Opp LHH and 2 Opp RHH
  1. Jameson Taillon (RHP, CHC)
  • Weighted True AVG: 0.203 (below average)
  • Balanced performance against LHH (True AVG LHH: 0.201) and RHH (True AVG RHH: 0.205)
  • Faces 4 Opp LHH and 5 Opp RHH
  1. Jesus Luzardo (LHP, MIA)
  • Weighted True AVG: 0.211 (slightly below average)
  • Better against RHH (True AVG RHH: 0.197) than LHH (True AVG LHH: 0.259)
  • Faces 2 Opp LHH and 7 Opp RHH
  1. Connor Seabold (RHP, COL)
  • Weighted True AVG: 0.224 (around average)
  • Better against LHH (True AVG LHH: 0.182) than RHH (True AVG RHH: 0.257)
  • Faces 4 Opp LHH and 5 Opp RHH

Top 5 Highest Weighted True AVG scores:

  1. Drew Rucinski (RHP, OAK)
  • Weighted True AVG: 0.311 (significantly above average)
  • Better against RHH (True AVG RHH: 0.286) than LHH (True AVG LHH: 0.331)
  • Faces 5 Opp LHH and 4 Opp RHH
  1. Patrick Corbin (LHP, WAS)
  • Weighted True AVG: 0.286 (above average)
  • Better against LHH (True AVG LHH: 0.215) than RHH (True AVG RHH: 0.295)
  • Faces 1 Opp LHH and 8 Opp RHH
  1. Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP, DET)
  • Weighted True AVG: 0.268 (slightly above average)
  • Better against RHH (True AVG RHH: 0.257) than LHH (True AVG LHH: 0.304)
  • Faces 2 Opp LHH and 7 Opp RHH
  1. Jordan Lyles (RHP, KC)
  • Weighted True AVG: 0.269 (slightly above average)
  • Consistent performance against LHH (True AVG LHH: 0.268) and RHH (True AVG RHH: 0.273)
  • Faces 6 Opp LHH and 3 Opp RHH

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