Best overall plays
Based on the provided dataset, the top 5 players with the highest median scores are as follows:
- Tony Finau
- Median Score: 72.06
- Top_finish Percentage: 16.10%
- Top_5_finish Percentage: 45.18%
- Own: 16.20
Tony Finau has an impressive median score of 72.06, making him one of the top contenders in the tournament. He has a high top finish percentage (16.10%) and an even higher top 5 finish percentage (45.18%), showcasing his consistent performance in tournaments. His own (ownership) rate is 16.20, which further strengthens his position as a good bet.
- Rory McIlroy
- Median Score: 70.09
- Top_finish Percentage: 15.06%
- Top_5_finish Percentage: 43.26%
- Own: 27.10
Rory McIlroy is another strong contender, with a median score of 70.09. His top finish percentage (15.06%) and top 5 finish percentage (43.26%) are also high, indicating consistent performance. McIlroy's own rate is 27.10, which is higher than Finau's, demonstrating his popularity among bettors.
- Patrick Cantlay
- Median Score: 69.72
- Top_finish Percentage: 12.70%
- Top_5_finish Percentage: 40.62%
- Own: 20.60
Patrick Cantlay's median score is 69.72, making him another player to watch. He has a top finish percentage of 12.70% and a top 5 finish percentage of 40.62%. Cantlay's own rate is 20.60, reflecting his strong following among bettors.
- Xander Schauffele
- Median Score: 64.89
- Top_finish Percentage: 5.78%
- Top_5_finish Percentage: 30.00%
- Own: 15.90
Xander Schauffele has a median score of 64.89, putting him in the top 5 players with the highest median scores. However, his top finish percentage (5.78%) and top 5 finish percentage (30.00%) are lower than the players mentioned above. Nevertheless, his own rate of 15.90 shows that he is still considered a strong contender by bettors.
- Cameron Young
- Median Score: 64.27
- Top_finish Percentage: 6.92%
- Top_5_finish Percentage: 27.76%
- Own: 19.90
Cameron Young rounds out the top 5 with a median score of 64.27. His top finish percentage (6.92%) and top 5 finish percentage (27.76%) may be lower compared to the other players, but they still showcase his potential to perform well. Young's own rate is 19.90, which further supports his status as a strong contender in the tournament.
In summary, these five players have the highest median scores, indicating they are good bets to perform well in the tournament. Their top finish and top 5 finish percentages show their consistent performance in previous tournaments, and their ownership rates reflect their popularity among bettors.
Value Plays
Based on the dataset provided, the top 5 players with the highest 10x% percentages are:
- Ben Griffin:
- 10x%: 14.84%
- Top_finish: 0.94%
- Top_5_finish: 6.88%
- Own: 3.00
Ben Griffin's impressive 10x% percentage of 14.84% makes him a strong value player. Although his top_finish percentage is relatively low at 0.94%, his top_5_finish percentage is a solid 6.88%. With an ownership level of 3.00, Griffin can be a valuable addition to a DFS roster.
- Adam Scott:
- 10x%: 14.24%
- Top_finish: 1.20%
- Top_5_finish: 11.66%
- Own: 13.40
Adam Scott's high 10x% percentage of 14.24% combined with his top_finish percentage of 1.20% and top_5_finish percentage of 11.66% make him a strong value player. His ownership level of 13.40 suggests that he is a popular pick among DFS players.
- Akshay Bhatia:
- 10x%: 13.70%
- Top_finish: 0.76%
- Top_5_finish: 6.12%
- Own: 6.60
Akshay Bhatia's 10x% percentage of 13.70% and top_5_finish percentage of 6.12% indicate that he is a valuable player. Although his top_finish percentage is only 0.76%, his ownership level of 6.60 suggests that he is a relatively well-known player in the DFS community.
- Sahith Theegala:
- 10x%: 11.64%
- Top_finish: 5.34%
- Top_5_finish: 24.62%
- Own: 10.20
Sahith Theegala's 10x% percentage of 11.64% along with his impressive top_finish percentage of 5.34% and top_5_finish percentage of 24.62% make him a strong value player. His ownership level of 10.20 indicates that he is a popular choice among DFS players.
- Cameron Young:
- 10x%: 11.52%
- Top_finish: 6.92%
- Top_5_finish: 27.76%
- Own: 19.90
Cameron Young's high 10x% percentage of 11.52% combined with his outstanding top_finish percentage of 6.92% and top_5_finish percentage of 27.76% make him a valuable player. His ownership level of 19.90 suggests that he is a popular pick among DFS players.
These players' high 10x% percentages along with their top_finish and top_5_finish percentages make them strong value picks for DFS lineups. Their ownership levels also provide insight into their popularity within the DFS community.
Market inefficiencies
The following players have the top 5 highest T5 v Salary ratios, indicating a strong relationship between their salary and implied odds to finish in the top 5 of the tournament. These players are strong values based on their top finish percentages, Top_5_finish percentages, and Own.
- Kyoung-Hoon Lee ($7,200)
- T5 v Salary: 1.1
- Top_finish: 0.04%
- Top_5_finish: 1.70%
- Own: 2.40
Lee's T5 v Salary ratio of 1.1 is the highest among the players, making him a strong value pick. With a 1.70% chance of finishing in the Top 5, he offers a high potential return on investment.
- Adam Scott ($7,300)
- T5 v Salary: 1.08
- Top_finish: 1.20%
- Top_5_finish: 11.66%
- Own: 13.40
Scott is another strong value pick, with a T5 v Salary ratio of 1.08. He has a much higher Top_finish percentage (1.20%) and Top_5_finish percentage (11.66%) than Lee, but his higher ownership percentage (13.40) makes him a slightly less attractive option.
- Will Gordon ($6,900)
- T5 v Salary: 1.07
- Top_finish: 0.40%
- Top_5_finish: 3.24%
- Own: 5.50
With a T5 v Salary ratio of 1.07, Gordon also represents good value. His Top_finish percentage is 0.40%, and his Top_5_finish percentage is 3.24%. He has a lower ownership percentage (5.50) compared to Scott, making him a more appealing option for those looking to differentiate their lineups.
- Cameron Young ($8,700)
- T5 v Salary: 1.03
- Top_finish: 6.92%
- Top_5_finish: 27.76%
- Own: 19.90
Young's T5 v Salary ratio is 1.03, and he boasts impressive Top_finish (6.92%) and Top_5_finish (27.76%) percentages. However, his high ownership percentage (19.90) may make him a less attractive option for those seeking unique lineups.
- Keith Mitchell ($7,800)
- T5 v Salary: 1.03
- Top_finish: 0.58%
- Top_5_finish: 5.40%
- Own: 11.10
Mitchell's T5 v Salary ratio is also 1.03, with a Top_finish percentage of 0.58% and a Top_5_finish percentage of 5.40%. His ownership percentage (11.10) is lower than Young's, making him a more appealing option for those seeking differentiation.
In summary, these players offer strong value based on their T5 v Salary ratios and their respective Top_finish and Top_5_finish percentages. It's important to consider their ownership percentages when making your picks, as selecting less popular players may provide a strategic advantage in tournaments.
Overvalued plays
Based on the given dataset, the top 5 players with the lowest LevX scores are:
- Patrick Rodgers:
- LevX: -16.03%
- Own: 9.30
- Top Finish %: 0.04%
- Top 5 Finish %: 1.08%
- Chris Kirk:
- LevX: -10.90%
- Own: 7.90
- Top Finish %: 0.04%
- Top 5 Finish %: 0.94%
- Keegan Bradley:
- LevX: -10.26%
- Own: 9.20
- Top Finish %: 0.08%
- Top 5 Finish %: 1.68%
- Corey Conners:
- LevX: -8.33%
- Own: 13.20
- Top Finish %: 0.48%
- Top 5 Finish %: 4.90%
- Cameron Davis:
- LevX: -8.33%
- Own: 5.60
- Top Finish %: 0.04%
- Top 5 Finish %: 1.14%
These players have the lowest LevX scores, which indicates that they may be overvalued in terms of their potential performance. It is important to take into consideration their relatively low Top Finish and Top 5 Finish percentages, as well as their ownership percentages (Own). These factors suggest that these players may not offer the best value or upside, and as a result, they could be smart to avoid in favor of other options with better potential returns.