NFL Adjusted Pass and Rush Splits
The table below shows not only the general pass and rush splits for all NFL teams, but also gamescript independent rates. The reason this is important is because if games stay close, we want to know what those rates will be without having them affected by a lead or deficit. Teams will be more or less run heavy when playing from ahead or behind, so looking at gamescript independent samples gives us more actionable data to work with. Likewise, it gives insight into who you should stack in NFL DFS on sites like Draftkings and Fanduel.
The models here at Paydirt take all of this data into account to develop the best projections possible for players. If you are interested in DFS or betting, the models here will help you make better choices!
Note: To sort, right click the drop down button on the column.
Legend:
- Pass: The amount of pass plays by a team in the sample.
- Pass%: The percentage of a teams total plays that were passing plays in the sample.
- AdjPass: The amount of pass plays between the 20s and in the adjusted sample.
- AdjPass%: The percentage of a teams total plays that were passing plays between the 20s and in the adjusted sample.
- ScriptDiff: The difference between a teams total pass play percentage and pass play percentage between the 20s and in the adjusted sample.
- Run: The amount of rush plays by a team in the sample.
- Run%: The percentage of a teams total plays that were rushing plays in the sample.
- AdjRun: The amount of rush plays between the 20s and in the adjusted sample.
- AdjRun%: The percentage of a teams total plays that were rushing plays between the 20s and in the adjusted sample.