Posted on Leave a comment

NFL Week 5: Five under $5,500

A GPP winning lineup is a work of art, and like a prized painting it all starts with the background, in the case of daily fantasy this is your stack. Creating positive correlations between your QB and at least two skill position players sets the stage, but just as important as your stack are the players that round out your roster, I’ll call these accents players.

The word is out when it comes to daily fantasy strategy and stacking. You can bet that even if you pick the right stack there’ll be some other guy in your prize pool who picked the exact same guys. The difference will come down to your accent players, these are high risk, high reward players with lower salaries. It is for this reason that I’m putting together 5 under $5,500. These are the guys who when added to the right stack will propel you to the promised land.

Tee Higgins $5,000

  • Median/Ceiling: 12.00 – 25.42
  • Projected Ownership: 8.61%

Before sustaining a shoulder injury in week 2, Higgins had scored in each of his first two contests, saw 31% of his team’s air yards and was heavily targeted in the red zone. His matchup this week is against Green Bay who is middle of the pack when it comes to fantasy points given up to WRs. The fact that Joe Burrow will have his full assortment of weapons though makes me nervous for the Green Bay secondary. You also have to consider opportunity, according to the Paydirt stack rankings Green Bay projects as the highest upside offense of the week. If Green Bay is able to get up big against Cincy there is the potential for a shootout, or more likely, garbage time fantasy points for Higgins. Higgins is a premiere accent player option this week as long as he plays.

Laviska Shenault $4,800

  • Median/Ceiling: 9.90 – 19.82
  • Projected Ownership: 8.90%

Shenault’s matchup this week is against the Tennessee Titans, who are giving up the 2nd most fantasy points to WRs, this stat alone though is misleading as the Titans first two opponents were the high scoring Cardinals and Seahawks. What really gets me excited about Shenault this week is again, opportunity. DJ Chark is out which won’t really free up too many targets for Shenault but it should free up playing time. Chark was on the field 67% of the time through 4 weeks, Shenault 72%, with Chark out there’s no reason Shenault isn’t an every down WR. The game script also figures to be positive as the Jaguars are 4 point home underdogs, there is again the potential for garbage time points.

Darnell Mooney $4,700

Mooney saw 7 targets in his week 4 matchup against the Bears which doesn’t sound like a lot but consider that the Bears only passed 17 times. That means that 41% of Fields’ passes went to Mooney. This week the Bears will have to throw more to keep pace with the Las Vegas Raiders who figure to be in the driver seat most of the game, even against a stout Bears defense. Allen Robinson will likely draw coverage from Casey Heyward freeing up Mooney to run all over the Raiders secondary.

AJ Dillon $4,500

  • Median/Ceiling: 6.09 – 11.09
  • Projected Ownership: 1.53%

As mentioned above, we think that the Bengals won’t be able to keep up with the offense of the Packers as they’re ranked as the #1 stack of the week. If the Packers are indeed up big they’ll look to take the air out of the football and why would they risk injury to their star RB Aaron Jones in an interdivision game that is well in hand? I’m predicting that Jones takes a seat if the Packers are up by double digits at half time. The Bengals don’t rank well against the run, look for the Packers to run the football effectively against the Bengals in the second half.

Dalton Schultz $4,400

  • Median/Ceiling: 14.40 – 23.98
  • Projected Ownership: 6.17%

Schultz has been an absolute MONSTER the last two weeks. The beneficiary of the target void left behind by Michael Gallup as well as weak opponents each of the last two weeks. Both of those conditions will continue in week 5 as the Giants travel to Jerry Land and Gallup remains on IR. The Giants ranked 5th worst against TEs and its not like they’ve only faced top talent at the position, they’ve been carved up by the likes of Noah Fant and Logan Thomas. Giants should keep it close though, as this is a divisional matchup and the Cowboys defense is nothing special.

These certainly aren’t the only options available but they should serve as happy little trees in your GPP painting this week. Thanks for reading, go hit Paydirt!

Leave a Reply