Welcome to the CFB DFS Triple Option here at Paydirt! This is going to be a weekly article aimed at giving thoughts and notes on three important aspects of the CFB DFS slate. This article is NOT used with the projections models here at Paydirt (Found here), but it will still be valuable even as a one-off piece of content. While the focus is on Draftkings, the content is applicable to Fanduel as well.
DFS Slate Overview
- Jonathon Brooks (RB, UT) leads the way with an ownership percentage of 55.28% and a median projection of 29.92. At the quarterback spot, Dillon Gabriel is prominent, likely overshadowing other quarterbacks due to his reasonable pricing in relation to his upside. At the wide receiver position, Oscar Delp (UGA) stands out with a 28.99% ownership, albeit with a median projection of 11.11. However, at Delp's sub-$4k price you don't need much and he provides roster flexibility. Le'Veon Moss (RB, TA&M) and John Rhys Plumlee (QB, UCF) are also popular choices with their ownership percentages sitting at 37.40% and 33.14%, respectively.
- UCF, OU, and USC look to be the primary choices for stacking based on the high ownership of their players. Interestingly, six of the ten most-owned players on this slate are from these squads. Heavily stacking these teams or incorporating the OU and USC running game are ways to potentially get different. Moreover, teams like ORE and UT are under-owned relative to their ceiling and should be considered for GPPs.
- For those looking to diversify their lineups, players like O'Mega Blake (WR, SCAR), Bucky Irving (RB, ORE), and Max Johnson (QB, TA&M) have ownership percentages below 15% but still boast decent median/ceiling combos.
Depending on the size of the slate, there may be multiple situations, value plays, and popular options that you need to consider. Join the Paydirt discord with this link for more updates and game theory on all the slates details: https://discord.gg/mQ6u5dfawF
CFB Cash Core:
This core of players will help you build a strong foundation in cash games. While it is best to use all these players, it's not a requirement. These players can also be used as GPP one-offs in contrarian builds.
QB: Dillon Gabriel
RB: RJ Harvey
WR1: Oscar Delp
WR2: Nic Anderson
Flex: Jonathon Brooks
CFB GPP Core:
This core of players will help you build in differentiation in your DFS lineups. These players are meant to be mixed in with some of the stronger chalk options. How many of these players you put in is dependent on the size of the field and personal risk tolerance.
QB: Max Johnson
RB: Nic Singleton
WR1: O'Mega Blake
WR2: Brenden Rice
Flex: Bucky Irving
DFS Stack Considerations
ORE (University of Oregon)
UT (University of Texas)
FSU (Florida State University)
CFB DFS Final Thoughts
Players like Bucky Irving, Brenden Rice, and Troy Franklin have relatively lower ownership percentages but still have strong median projections. Rostering these players can be a way to differentiate your lineup in large tournaments. Additionally, In high-total games you can also consider full offensive stacks. For example, with John Rhys Plumlee and RJ Harvey both popular you can balance ownership by adding a low-owned Javon Baker. In summary, while certain games and players are drawing a lot of attention, the key to success lies in striking the right balance between popular picks and underrated gems.
GL and let's bake some bread!
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