Welcome to the MLB DFS Triple Play here at Paydirt! This is going to be a daily article aimed at giving thoughts and notes on three important aspects of the MLB DFS slate. This article is best used with the projections models here at Paydirt (Found here), but it will still be valuable even as a one off piece of content. While the focus is on Draftkings, the content is applicable to Fanduel as well.
DFS Slate Overview
- Slate ownership is sitting on Strider and the Angels with some secondary ownership falling towards the Diamondbacks and Royals.
- Spencer Strider projects significantly higher than anyone else on the slate. However, there are actually a lot of interesting secondary pitching options that are worth exploiting in GPPs.
- Strider rates as the top pitcher and the Angels rate as the top stack. This makes the decisions pretty straightforward as you should be getting different with SP2 and/or your secondary stacks.
Depending on the size of the slate, there may be multiple situations, value plays, and popular options that you need to consider. Join the Paydirt discord with this link for more updates and game theory on all the slates details: https://discord.gg/mQ6u5dfawF
True AVG Heroes and Zeros
Heroes: Spencer Strider, Lance Lynn, Sonny Gray
Worth noting that two of these heroes, Lance Lynn and Sonny Gray, both have mid True AVG but in the context of this slate they are top 3.
Zeros: Chris Bassitt, Ken Waldichuk, Matthew Boyd
Despite all three of these pitchers having about equally bad True AVG, only the Angels will be owned versus Waldichuk. Take advantage of low owned Whitesox and Brewers.
If you are interested in seeing all of the True AVG tables and metrics, along with other research oriented tables, you can find them here!
MLB Cash Game Core:
This core of players will help you build a strong foundation in cash games. While it is best to use all these players, it's not a requirement.
SP: Spencer Strider
1B: Vinnie Pasquantino
2B: Brandon Drury
3B: Josh Rojas
SS: Bobby Witt Jr.
OF: Mike Trout
MLB GPP Core:
This core of players will help you build in differentiation in your DFS lineups. These players are meant to be mixed in with some of the stronger chalk options. How many of these players you put in is dependent on the size of the field and personal risk tolerance.
SP: Lance Lynn
1B: Miguel Cabrera
2B: Nick Maton
3B: Brian Anderson
SS: Lenyn Sosa
OF: Akil Badoo
DFS Stack Considerations
MLB DFS Final Thoughts
In small field starting with the Angels and utilizing a handful of other options (DET, ATL, MIL, CWS to name a few) as secondary stacks is the easiest way to go at this slate. In large field contests, using LAA as a secondary in lieu of ARI/KC makes the most sense if 5-man stacking the low owned alternatives. As far as pitching, the main combo people will use is going to be Strider/Bassitt with value bats, or Strider/Suarez with higher end bats. However, the models like Strider/Lynn quite a bit more. Likewise, you can use Tommy Henry as a pivot off of Suarez. With some low owned options with high projections, this makes for a strong GPP slate.
GL and let's bake some bread!
Powerful tools for every sport
One site, one affordable price
Join Free by signing up below for 3 days of full access!
- Make decisions using a players full range of outcomes, not just their median projection.
- Use actionable metrics based on leverage that help you identify mistakes the field is making and leverage them for your own success.
- Have access to experts in the field along with coaching opportunities to build your process.
- Jump in the Paydirt community discord and join conversations around your favorites sports all day, every day, for free.