Paydirt NBA DFS Range of Outcomes Models

The NBA Range of Outcomes and Projections model is the proprietary NBA product for Paydirt. It is built on player level simulations to create a comprehensive and powerful set of projections for NBA DFS. It utilizes player distributions to create a realistic range of projections that allow you to make the most profitable decisions every slate!

If you would like a rundown of the models and how they should be utilized, check out this video! https://youtu.be/mWXyv3oX_54

If you have questions about this model, refer to the legend below! Finally, if you want consistent conversation about the game theory and application of this model, join the free Paydirt discord here: https://discord.gg/mQ6u5dfawF

Legend:

1. Floor: The 15th percentile outcome for a player.
2. Ceiling: The 85th percentile outcome for a player.
3. Median: The Median projection for a player.
4. Top Finish%: The percentile chance that a player finishes as the top outcome on the slate (Overall or Salary specific).
5. Top 5%: The percentile chance that a player finishes within the top 5 outcomes on the slate (Overall or Salary specific).
6. Top 10%: The percentile chance that a player finishes within the top 10 outcomes on the slate (Overall or Salary specific).
7. 20+%: The percentile chance that a player finishes with an outcome above 20 fantasy points.
8. 3x%: The percentile chance that a player finishes with an outcome of 3 times their salary in fantasy points.
9. 3x%: The percentile chance that a player finishes with an outcome of 4 times their salary in fantasy points.
10. 4x%: The percentile chance that a player finishes with an outcome of 5 times their salary in fantasy points.