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Paydirt NFL DFS Play Action Week 2

Welcome to the NFL DFS Play Action here at Paydirt! This is going to be a weekly article aimed at giving thoughts and notes on the 5 highest-owned players and potential pivots. This article is used with the projections models here at Paydirt (Found here), but it will still be valuable even as a one-off piece of content. While the focus is on Draftkings, the content is applicable to Fanduel as well.

Chalk DFS Plays:

  • Calvin Ridley (20.09%)
  • Puka Nacua (19.06%)
  • Davante Adams (17.17%)
  • James Conner (16.09%)
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown (16.73%)

For conversation and game theory on the charts with updated ownership distributions as well as the top ownership lineups, jump in the Paydirt discord! Free with this link:

Calvin Ridley

Calvin Ridley will be popular for a 2nd week in a row after exploding in week 1. However, there are a few strong GPP pivots to consider. At the receiver position, DK Metcalf is in the 2nd highest projected total game and will be minimally owned. Additionally, Keenan Allen will be about half as owed as Ridley and Austin Ekeler is doubtful for LAC. At the FLEX, Tony Pollard is another pivot you can go to.

Puka Nacua

Puka seemingly came out of nowhere in week 1 doing his best Cooper Kupp impression. However, he's far from a lock this week. Zay Flowers looks like a strong pivot especially considering Mark Andrews is still banged up. Furthermore, Marquis Brown is a two for one pivot off of both Puka and James Conner. Lastly, while not the same position Tyler Higbee does provide direct leverage.

Davante Adams

Davante Adams presents an interesting scenario. While there are several pivots, all of them will be similarly owned. Additionally, the team stacks containing those pivots will be significantly higher owned. The move in GPPs may be to either play a Raiders stack, or play Josh Allen with Davante Adams in place of Diggs.

James Conner

If we ignore Daniel Jones, there's only one skill position pivot to Conner and they don't offer much of an ownership discount. That said, Conner is likely a fine chalk piece to have in your lineups.

Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra looks like pretty solid chalk this week. Not only is there only one pivot with a higher Top Finish%, but that pivot is almost equally as high owned. However, one way to include the sun god while being different would be to include him with a Seahawks stack.

DFS Play Action: Final Thoughts

Of the five highest projected owned players Calvin Ridley and Puka Nacua look like the clearest fades. Conversely, James Conner and Amon-Ra look like the strongest chalk. Lastly, Davante Adams is probably fine but it would be best to avoid playing him with other chalk pieces.

Good luck and let's bake some bread!

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