Paydirt NHL DFS Range of Outcomes Model Free

NHL DFS Range of Outcomes and Projections Model

The NHL Range of Outcomes and Projections model is the proprietary NHL product for Paydirt. It is built on player level simulations to create a comprehensive and powerful set of projections for NHL DFS. It utilizes player distributions to create a realistic range of projections that allow you to make the most profitable decisions every slate. Likewise, it comes with Line and Power Play combo models as well to make stacking easier than ever before.

If you have questions about this model, refer to the legend below! Finally, if you want consistent conversation about the game theory and application of this model, join the free Paydirt discord here: https://discord.gg/mQ6u5dfawF

Draftkings





Fanduel

Legend:

  1. Line Combo: The group of skaters referred to as a “line combination” that a skater belongs to.
  2. PP: What powerplay group, if any, a player belongs to.
  3. Own%: The projected ownership of a skater or goalie (site exclusive).
  4. Team Total: The implied amount of goals scored for a team based on sportsbook and betting information.
  5. Goals: The projected goals scored by a skater.
  6. Assists: The projected assists by a skater.
  7. TP: The projected total combined goals and assists by a player.
  8. iCF: The projected individual's Corsi For (more info at https://www.naturalstattrick.com/glossary.php?players).
  9. iHDCF: The projected individual's High Danger Corsi For (more info at https://www.naturalstattrick.com/glossary.php?players).
  10. Blocks: The projected blocks by a skater.
  11. Floor: The floor projection for a player, line combo, or PP combo.
  12. Median: The median projection for a player, line combo, or PP combo.
  13. Ceiling: The ceiling projection for a player, line combo, or PP combo.
  14. Top%: The percentile chance a player, line combo, or PP combo is the top scoring of the slate.
  15. Top 5%: The percentile chance a player, line combo, or PP combo is within the top 5 scoring of the slate
  16. Top 10%: The percentile chance a player, line combo, or PP combo is within the top 10 scoring of the slate.
  17. 20+%/50+%/75+%: The percentile chance a player, line combo, or PP combo scores above 25/50/75 fantasy points.
  18. 2x%: The percentile chance a player, line combo, or PP combo scores 2 times their salary in fantasy points.
  19. 3x%: The percentile chance a player, line combo, or PP combo scores 3 times their salary in fantasy points.
  20. 4x%: The percentile chance a player, line combo, or PP combo scores 4 times their salary in fantasy points.