Tag: MMA

MMA is a sport based on opportunity and split second decision making. The breakdowns that we try to focus on here will be looking at stylistic differences between fighters and how they will impact the card. Although the breakdowns won't usually be long, they'll have info on fighter strengths and weaknesses and how we expect them to be exploited. Towards the end of the article there will be the five best bets on the slate for you to tail!

Not a great fight card, but there are some diamonds in the rough in this card. Check the article for the where you can go to find those diamonds.

All my information is from https://fightodds.io/ and https://paydirtdfs.com/mma-ranks-and-leverage-model/

Ronnie Lawrence (Wrestler) vs Saidyokub Kakharamonov (Striker)

This one will be interesting. Lawrence is going to try to take down, but Saidyokub is quite good at defending the takedown. Look for Saidyokub to defend takedowns and pick him apart on the feet. 

Kakharamonov +100

Kennedy Nzechukwu (Striker) vs Karl Roberson (Striker)

I love me some Kennedy, so some bias here. I do think he is the stronger fighter, so hopefully that translates to a KO win.

Nzechukwu -145

David Onama (Striker) vs Garrett Armfield (Striker/Grappler)

Not going to write much here. Don’t think this will be close. Onama is going to be the bigger and better fighter in there.

Cody Brundage (Wrestler) vs Tresean Gore (Striker)

Gore looked really good in TUF, but lost the final to a very good fighter. He is the superior striker, while Brundage is going to look to take him down. Gore is a good defender of takedowns, so I think he has a chance of finishing this one.

Antonina Shevchenko (Striker) vs Cortney Casey (Striker/Grappler)

Should be a nice little striking match. I give the edge to Shevchenko on the feet. If Casey can get her to the ground, we may be looking at a different ending, but I don’t see it happening.

Aiemann Zahabi (Well Rounded) vs Ricky Turcios (Striker/Wrestler)

I loveeee Ricky. Man is just a wild man and always pushes the pace. On the other hand, Zahabi likes to slow it down and fight at his own pace. Will be interesting to see who's fighting style wins here.

Michael Johnson (Striker/Wrestler) vs Jamie Mullarkey (Striker/Wrestler)

You always have the chance Michael will knock you out, but Jamie is one of the ones that is just tough as nails. I think he tries to wrestle and can do it pretty easily. 

Cynthia Calvillo (Grappler) vs Nina Nunes (Striker)

This one is a true toss up for me. I could see it going either way. Both girls aren’t great and have holes in their game. The model has them very close as well.

Jared Vanderaa (Striker) vs Chase Sherman (Striker)

Two shitty heavyweight strikers with one being more shitty. Vanderaa wins this. 

Vanderaa -210

Said Nurmagomedov (Striker/Grappler) vs Douglas Silva de Andrade (Striker)

I really really like Douglas. It sucks he has to run into Said. Said can be picked apart striking though. If Douglas can keep this standing, we may see a little upset.

Caio Borralho (Striker) vs Armen Petrosyan (Striker)

I think a lot of people will be on Caio here, but I really like Armen. He has some really good kickboxing and I think he wins it, if he can keep this standing.

Petrosyan +190

Rafael dos Anjos (Well Rounded) vs Rafael Fiziev (Striker)

Best fight of the night by far. I love some RDA here. Fiziev hasn’t faced a challenge like RDA yet. One thing RDA does is win and he knows how to win. He will be pressuring him nonstop and not let him get shots in like he normally does. Give me another dog.

Dos Anjos +175

MMA is a sport based on opportunity and split second decision making. The breakdowns that we try to focus on here will be looking at stylistic differences between fighters and how they will impact the card. Although the breakdowns won't usually be long, they'll have info on fighter strengths and weaknesses and how we expect them to be exploited. Towards the end of the article there will be the five best bets on the slate for you to tail!

All my research is from https://fightodds.io/ and https://paydirtdfs.com/mma-ranks-and-leverage-model/

Jinh Yu Frey (Striker) vs Vanessa Demopoulos (Grappler)

Looks like a really bad matchup for Vanessa. She is pretty much a sub or bust and Frey has a 90% takedown defense. I like Frey in this one to start off the night.

Frey -240

Mario Bautista (Striker/Grappler) vs Brian Kelleher (Striker/Grappler)

This is an interesting fight between two veterans in the sport. Mario is going to be the better striker and look to keep this one on the feet, while Brian is going to get nasty and in range for a takedown. I think Brian knows how to get the victory, so he wins via split.

Kelleher +140

Cody Durden (Striker/Wrestler) vs JP Buys (Wrestler)

Buys is super in need of a win here and will be starting out very strong to try to get a win here. Durden has looked pretty vulnerable with getting submitted, so we may see an early sub here.

Raulian Paiva (Striker/Grappler) vs Sergey Morozov (Striker/Grappler)

This looks like a win or get cut for Morozov. He desperately needs a win here. He should go to his wrestling to try to secure that. Paiva isn’t the best of grapplers, so I think it’s a big advantage for Morozov if he goes to ground.

Morozov -140

TJ Brown (Striker/Wrestler) vs Yilan Sha (Striker/Grappler)

This looks like a good time for TJ to get his first win in the UFC. Sha has been destroyed in most of his fights, while getting finished in most of them also. I like to get a finish here.

Tafon Nchukwi (Striker) vs Carlos Ulberg (Striker)

This should be a fun ugly fight. Both of these guys are pretty impatient and just throw big bombs. I have seen Tafon try to grapple strikers and I think he will go to that in this one.

Chris Curtis (Striker) vs Rodolfo Vieira (Grappler)

I am a Chris Curtis lover, so all bais over here. Then I looked at the model and saw he was the #1 fighter there. Nothing else needs to be said.

Curtis -125

Umar Nurmagomedov (Striker/Grappler) vs Nathan Maness (Striker)

Maness is really good and I think he will have a nice little future in the UFC. He is just fighting someone with the same last name as Khabib. Good luck.

Christos Giagos (Striker) vs Thiago Moisés (Grappler)

Giagos likes to use his physicality to get an advantage over his opponents. He won’t be able to do that with Thiago. Thiago should be able to get this one to the ground and get a submission.

Josh Parisian (Striker) vs Alan Baudot (Striker)

Coin flip fight between two heavyweight strikers? Fun stuff!! You’ll need the winner of this to win a GPP. I am giving it to Parisian because Baudot usually fades in his fights and that's a death sentence vs heavyweights. 

Parisian -110

Neil Magny (Striker/Grappler) vs Shavkat Rakhmonov (Well Rounded)

I like some Magny here. I may be the only one in the world, but I think the man just knows how to win. He is the definition of a gatekeeper for this division. Shavkat is really good, so he may just wipe the floor with Magny, but I think he has a real shot. 

Magny +375

Arman Tsarukyan (Well Rounded) vs Mateusz Gamrot (Striker/Grappler)

Can we talk about how jacked these dudes are? Holy moly. This should be a really good fight and closer than the line suggests. Arman is never in bad situations because he is such a damn good scrambler and that may be the difference right there. Gamrot is really good though and does everything almost as good as Arman. I’m not making a pick here because I think it’s too close.

MMA is a sport based on opportunity and split second decision making. The breakdowns that we try to focus on here will be looking at stylistic differences between fighters and how they will impact the card. Although the breakdowns won't usually be long, they'll have info on fighter strengths and weaknesses and how we expect them to be exploited. Towards the end of the article there will be the five best bets on the slate for you to tail!

Check out the new MMA model! https://paydirtdfs.com/mma-ranks-and-leverage-model/

Kyle Daukaus (Striker/Grappler) vs Roman Dolidze (Striker/Wrestler)

Daukaus has been very impressive in the UFC and has been getting better and better. On the other hand, Dolidze has been looking worse and worse. I think this is a pretty slow paced fight that ends in a decision. He is too expensive for my liking in DFS.

Phil Hawes (Wrestler) vs Deron Winn (Wrestler)

Hawes has a huge advantage here on his feet. He has a massive size difference that will cause Deron problems trying to get close and wrestle him. Hawes is the highed ranked fighter on James’ model and I like that.

Cody Stamann (Striker/Wrestler) vs Eddie Wineland (Striker)

This really feels like a easy win for Stamann. He really needs a win and the UFC gave him the perfect opportunity for one. Shouldn’t be close.

Gloria de Paula (Striker) vs Maria Oliveira (Striker)

If de Paula really has improved on the ground, then I could really see her getting a finish. If she hasn’t, then it’ll be a slow one.

Ricardo Ramos (Grappler) vs Danny Chavez (Striker)

This card has a ton of big favorites and this is another one. Ramos has very exciting fights in the UFC and usually ends in finishes. This will be another one here. Ramos by sub.

Ramos -300

Jeremiah Wells (Grappler) vs Court McGee (Wrestler)

Finally have our first toss up fight. Wells is going to try to finish this early or he will fade in the second half of the fight. I think it will end in a decision, but a toss up on who will get it. The model leans Wells, so I’ll go with him.

• Jasmine Jasudavicius (Striker) vs Natalia Cristina da Silva (Striker/Grappler)

My first dog of the night. I really like Silva’s striking and all of her finishes have come from submissions. I don’t think Jasmine offers much at all.

Silva +195

Adrian Yanez (Striker) vs Tony Kelley (Striker/Grappler)

I think this fight is much closer than the line suggests. Kelley is going to make this ugly and he may start the fight with a lead. Yanez should pull away late though.

Julian Marquez (Striker) vs Gregory Rodrigues (Grappler)

Give me the best nickname in the UFC. The Cuban Missile Crisis. If Marquez catches him, it won’t be pretty. Rodrigues does not have the greatest chin in the UFC.

Damir Ismagulov (Striker/Grappler) vs Guram Kutateladze (Striker)

This fight is literal definition of a toss up for me. So I go to the model to see what it says. The model like Kutateladze better, so we take the dog!

Kutateladze +142

Joaquin Buckley (Striker) vs Albert Duraev (Grappler)

Buckley could easily know Duraev out, but he has to worry about getting taken down. Duraev should be able to do this and get the victory.

Kevin Holland (Striker) vs Tim Means (Striker)

Kevin is just a much better fighter than Means. He just has to get through the gatekeepers at 170 before they give him the real guys. 

Donald Cerrone (Well Rounded) vs Joe Lauzon (Grappler)

This is such a bad matchup for Cowboy. Cowboy is such a slow starter and Joe starts so fast and goes so hard for a first round finish. I just don’t see Cowboy winning this one and it sucks.

Lauzon +135

Calvin Kattar (Well Rounded) vs Josh Emmett (Striker/Grappler)

This fight fucks so hard. Kattar is the better striker and should be able to piece up Emmett, but Katter is quite reckless sometimes. Go watch the Max fight. Look out for the right hand from Emett or it WILL put you on your ass. I hope we get 5 rounds of this!

All info from https://fightodds.io/ and https://paydirtdfs.com/mma-ranks-and-leverage-model/